Shareholders in banks quoted on the main and premium boards of the nation’s stock market recorded a cumulative gain of about N220 billion during the first month of 2021following positive market sentiments witnessed during the month.
Checks by New Telegraph revealed that the stocks recorded gain of N220 billion or 7.92 per cent to close at N2.997 trillion in market capitalisation on the last trading day of the month as against opening figure of N2.777 trillion at the beginning of trading on January 4, 2020.
Following strong fundamentals of the companies, analysts at Cowry Asset Management Limited have projected sustained positive outlook for Nigerian bourse in 2021. The analysts in their 2020 Economic and Financial Markets Review and Outlook & Investment Strategies for 2021, said: “We sustain our positive outlook for the Nigerian bourse in 2021 as its overall positive performance in 2020, despite the throes of COVID-19 and the accompanying economic recession.
“This is also justified by the strong fundamentals of the several quoted companies on account of their resilience during the pandemic and the likelihood that they will remain resilient in 2020.” They noted that the real sector was expected to continue to benefit from the current low interest rate environment to refinance the loans more cheaply, thereby reducing financing cost and increasing profitability (although cash cows are expected to receive lower interest income). On the flip side, they said rising inflation and foreign exchange rates could restrict consumer spending and squeeze company budgets, both of which could pose counterproductive to the real sector.
“Overall, we believe the positives should outweigh the downside risks especially for corporates that adopt sound risk management practices. “Armed with the lessons and experiences from the lockdown, we believe that the banks remain poised to sustain their performance in core lending activities as well as non-core businesses such as securities trading, foreign exchange trading activities and fees-andcommission- based transactions given that economic activities have more or less returned to normalcy.
“However, this may be tested in the unlikely event of a protracted lockdown on account of a much touted second wave of the flu pandemic – an unlikely proposition, given that the Nigerian economy appears ill-prepared to undergo a shutdown of economic activities – as this could increase non-performing loans and credit losses. We expect the tier one banks, such as Zenith Bank, Access Bank, Guaranty Trust Bank, United Bank for Africa and First Bank of Nigeria, are well prepared to continue to lead the industry in the coming year.
“The cement manufacturers were some of the few players that were little impacted by the lockdown as their latest nine months financial performances showed significant growths in turnover and profits after tax from continuing operations.